Chandler and East Valley Arizona Real Estate Blog

There’s a Long Line of Buyers Waiting for Your House

3/1/2020

There’s a Long Line of Buyers Waiting for Your House

If you’re following what’s happening in the housing market right now, you know that many people believe the winter months aren’t a good time to sell a home. As realtor.com Senior Economist George Ratiu recently noted,

“Sellers tend to be more reluctant to list during the colder time of year when the
market typically makes a seasonal slowdown.”

However, a recent report by ShowingTime reveals how this year is different. Buyer activity is way up compared to the same time last year. The report explains,

“The nation’s 12.6% growth in home showings compared to 2018 was the most
significant jump in buyer traffic during the current four-month streak of year-over-year
increases. The West Region saw the greatest growth in activity, with a 23.1% jump
– the region’s greatest in the history of the Showing Index.”

The increase has spread across all four regions of the country, as the graph below shows:

Bottom Line

Waiting for the “spring buyers’ market” may be a mistake this year. It seems the purchasers are already out and looking to buy.

If you are planning on selling your home at any point in the future, I can help to evaluate the opportunities in your market.

If you have any questions about what it takes to get your local East Valley home sold quickly, and for the highest price, just give me a call/text at 602-295-6807 and I can show you how!

"Real Estate is not just a job for me, it's about making a difference in the lives of others"

Troy Erickson Realtor
Call/Text: (602)295-6807
TroyEricksonRealtor@gmail.com
Facebook.com/TroyEricksonRealtor

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How Buyers Can Win By Downsizing in 2020

2/26/2020

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How Buyers Can Win By Downsizing in 2020

Home values have been increasing for 93 consecutive months, according to the National Association of Realtors. If you’re a homeowner, particularly one looking to downsize your living space, that’s great news, as you’ve likely built significant equity in your home.

Here’s some more good news: mortgage rates are expected to remain low throughout 2020 at an average of 3.8% for a 30-year fixed-rate loan.

The combination of leveraging your growing equity and capitalizing on low rates could make a big difference in your housing plans this year.

How to Use Your Home Equity

For move-up buyers, the typical pattern for building financial stability and wealth through homeownership works this way: you buy a house and gain equity over several years of mortgage payments and price appreciation. You then take that equity from the sale of your house to make a down payment on your next home and repeat the process.

For homeowners ready to downsize, home equity can work in a slightly different way. What you choose to do depends in part upon your goals.

According to HousingWire.com, for some, the desire to downsize may be related to retirement plans or children aging out of the home. Others may be choosing to live in a smaller home to save money or simplify their lifestyle in a space that’s easier to clean and declutter. The reasons can vary greatly and by generation.

Those who choose to put their equity toward a new home have the opportunity to make a substantial down payment or maybe even to buy their next home in cash. This is incredibly valuable if your goal is to have a minimal mortgage payment or none at all.

A local real estate professional can help you evaluate your equity and how to use it wisely. If you’re planning to downsize, keep in mind that home prices are anticipated to continue rising in 2020, which could influence your choices.

The Impact of Low Mortgage Rates

Low mortgage rates can offset price hikes, so locking in while rates are low will be key. For many downsizing homeowners, a loan with a shorter term is ideal, so the balance can be reduced more quickly.

Interest rates on 10, 15, and 20-year loans are lower than the rates on a 30-year fixed-rate loan. If you’re downsizing your housing costs, you may prefer a shorter-term loan to pay off your home faster. This way, you can save thousands in interest payments over time.

Bottom Line

If you’re planning a transition into a smaller home, the twin trends of low mortgage rates and rising home equity can kickstart or boost your plans, especially if you’re anticipating retirement soon or just want to live in a smaller home that’s easier to maintain.

Feel free to contact me if you have any questions about downsizing to explore your options.

"Real Estate is not just a job for me, it's about making a difference in the lives of others"

Troy Erickson Realtor
Call/Text: (602)295-6807
TroyEricksonRealtor@gmail.com
Facebook.com/TroyEricksonRealtor

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Should I Sell My House This Year?

2/17/2020

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Should I Sell My House This Year?

If one of the questions you’re asking yourself today is, “Should I sell my house this year?” the current Housing Opportunities and Market Experience (HOME) Survey from the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) should boost your confidence as it relates to the current selling sentiment in the housing market. Even with all the information overload in the media circling around talk of a possible recession, the upcoming 2020 election, and more, Americans feel good about selling a house now. That’s some news to get excited about!

As the graph below shows, as of Q4 2019, 75% of people surveyed indicate they believe now is a good time to sell a home:

In the case of those with a yearly salary of $100,000 or more, the results jumped even higher, coming in at an 82% positive sentiment.

When the study divided the outcomes by region, the results still consistently showed Americans feeling good about selling:

Northeast: 71% positive
Midwest: 76% positive
South: 72% positive
West: 81% positive

In addition to looking at income and region, the report also divided the results by generation, as shown in the graph below:

As you can see, many believe that, despite everything going on in the world, it is still a good time to sell a home.

According to NAR, the unsold inventory available today “sits at a 3.0-month supply at the current sales pace,” which is down from a 3.7-month supply in November. The current inventory is half of what we need for a normal or neutral housing market, which should have a 6.0-month supply of unsold inventory. This is good news for sellers, as Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, says:

“Home sellers are positioned well, but prospective buyers aren’t as fortunate. Low
inventory remains a problem, with first-time buyers affected the most.”

Bottom Line

If you’re ready to sell your home, you can feel good about the current sentiment in the market. Contact a local real estate professional today to determine the best next step when it comes to selling your house this year.

If you have any questions about what it takes to get your local East Valley home sold quickly, and for the highest price, just give me a call/text at 602-295-6807 and I will show you how!

"Real Estate is not just a job for me, it's about making a difference in the lives of others"

Troy Erickson Realtor
Call/Text: (602)295-6807
TroyEricksonRealtor@gmail.com
Facebook.com/TroyEricksonRealtor

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3 Benefits to Buying Your Dream Home This Year

2/12/2020

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3 Benefits to Buying Your Dream Home This Year

Outside of a strong economy, low unemployment, and higher wages, there are three more great reasons why you may want to consider buying your dream home this year instead of waiting.

1. Buying a Home is a Great Investment

Several reports indicate that real estate is a good investment, topping other options such as gold, stocks, bonds, and savings. Why? Real estate helps build equity, a form of investing for you and your family. According to CoreLogic’s Equity Report,

“U.S. homeowners with mortgages (roughly 64% of all properties) have seen their equity increase
by a total of nearly $457 billion since the third quarter 2018, an increase of 5.1%, year over year.”

This means the average homeowner gained approximately $5,300 in equity over the past year. If you want to start building your equity, put your housing costs to work for you through homeownership this year.

2. Mortgage Interest Rates Are Low

The Primary Mortgage Market Survey from Freddie Mac indicates that interest rates for a 30-year mortgage have fallen since November 2018 when they hit 4.94%. In their latest forecast, Freddie Mac expects rates to remain low, leveling out to a yearly average of 3.8% in 2020.

When you purchase a home at a low mortgage rate, it will impact your monthly mortgage payment, giving you the opportunity to buy more house for your money.

3. Investing in Your Family is a Win

There are some renters who haven’t purchased a home yet because they’re uncomfortable taking on the obligation of a mortgage. Everyone should realize that, unless you’re living rent-free with your parents, you’re paying a mortgage – either yours or that of your landlord.

Today, rental prices continue to increase, and when you’re paying your landlord’s mortgage instead of your own, you’re not the one earning the equity. As an owner, your mortgage payment is a form of ‘forced savings’ you can use later in life to reinvest in your family. You can use it for a variety of opportunities, such as saving for your children’s education, moving up to a bigger home, or starting your own business. As a renter, it can be more challenging to achieve those types of dreams without home equity working for you.

Bottom Line

Buying a home sooner rather than later could lead to substantial savings and long-term financial growth for you and your family. Reach out to a local real estate professional to determine if homeownership is the right choice for you this year.

Feel free to contact me if you have any questions about the home buying process, and what it takes to purchase a home in Chandler or the East Valley of Arizona.

"Real Estate is not just a job for me, it's about making a difference in the lives of others"

Troy Erickson Realtor
Call/Text: (602)295-6807
TroyEricksonRealtor@gmail.com
Facebook.com/TroyEricksonRealtor

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The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You

2/4/2020

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The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You

This will be an interesting year for residential real estate. With a presidential election taking place this fall and talk of a possible recession occurring before the end of the year, predicting what will happen in the 2020 U.S. housing market can be challenging. As a result, taking a look at the combined projections from the most trusted entities in the industry when it comes to mortgage rates, home sales, and home prices is incredibly valuable – and they may surprise you.

Mortgage Rates

Projections from the experts at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac all forecast mortgage rates remaining stable throughout 2020:

Since rates have remained under 5% for the last decade, we may not fully realize the opportunity we have right now.
Here are the average mortgage interest rates over the last several decades:

1970s: 8.86%
1980s: 12.70%
1990s: 8.12%
2000s: 6.29%

Home Sales

Three of the four expert groups noted above also predict an increase in home sales in 2020, and the fourth sees the transaction number remaining stable:

With mortgage rates remaining near all-time lows, demand should not be a challenge. The lack of available inventory, however, may moderate the increase in sales.

Home Prices

Below are the projections from six different expert entities that look closely at home values: CoreLogic, Fannie Mae, Ivy Zelman’s “Z Report”, the National Association of Realtors (NAR), Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).Each group has home values continuing to improve through 2020, with four of them seeing price appreciation increasing at a greater pace than it did in 2019.

Is a Recession Possible?

In early 2019, a large percentage of economists began predicting a recession may occur in 2020. In addition, a recent survey of potential home purchasers showed that over 50% agreed it would occur this year. The economy, however, remained strong in the fourth quarter, and that has caused many to rethink the possibility.

For example, Goldman Sachs, in their 2020 U.S. Outlook, explained:

Vertical Divider

“Markets sounded the recession alarm this year, and the average forecaster now sees a 33% chance of recession over the next year. In contrast, our new recession model suggests just a 20% probability. Despite the record age of the expansion, the usual late-cycle problems—inflationary overheating and financial imbalances—do not look threatening.”

Vertical Divider

Bottom Line

Mortgage rates are projected to remain under 4%, causing sales to increase in 2020. With growing demand and a limited supply of inventory, prices will continue to appreciate, while the threat of an impending recession seems to be softening. It looks like 2020 may be a solid year for the real estate market.

Feel free to contact me if you have any questions about the home buying process, and what it takes to purchase a home in Chandler or the East Valley of Arizona.

Whether you’re thinking about buying a home this year, or if you have any questions about what it takes to get your local East Valley home sold quickly, and for the highest price, just give me a call/text at 602-295-6807 and I can help answer all of your questions!

"Real Estate is not just a job for me, it's about making a difference in the lives of others"

Troy Erickson Realtor
Call/Text: (602)295-6807
TroyEricksonRealtor@gmail.com
Facebook.com/TroyEricksonRealtor

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There’s a Long Line of Buyers Waiting for Your House

There’s a Long Line of Buyers Waiting for Your House

How Buyers Can Win By Downsizing in 2020

How Buyers Can Win By Downsizing in 2020

Should I Sell My House This Year?

Should I Sell My House This Year?

3 Benefits to Buying Your Dream Home This Year

3 Benefits to Buying Your Dream Home This Year

The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You

The 2020 Real Estate Projections That May Surprise You

Chandler and East Valley Blog: Troy Erickson Realtor

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